98% WIN rate - Looking for expert to partner with.
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I have a strategy that has a 98% win rate. It is very simple. I am new to Fxdreema and I don't understand how to create the strategy in a bot. If you're an expert, I look forward to partnering with you on this project. Chat me up let's talk get started. We can be more than 2 or 3 in this project. Thanks.
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@cashflows
How can you evaluate the strategy win rate if you don't even know how to create one ? -
@seb-0 so until I know how to create a bot I can Never figure out the win rate of a strategy? Very funny. I trade manually... 
)I don't need to show you proof before you believe. So you think I need to know how to create a bot before I can ascertain the winning rate of a strategy?
Think again
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@seb-0 like how did you arrive to this conclusion? Please explain let's learn
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@cashflows
That is what I wanted to understand, 98% win rate seems a bit too good to be true to me. I don't know how to interpret these numbers, it must be put in context. On what trading period has it been made, are there long positions only ?
The profitability can strongly depend on the conjoncture.. That's why it is often preferable to automate the strategy to test it on a longer period to see if the results are legit. Didn't mean to be rude -
the question is what happens in the time you not win (2%) and if you have a win ratio of 98% but your average gain is 1 and the average loss is 100 you still have a big problem!
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@cashflows I will help you to create it here. Can you please detail what market conditions are required for the bot to seach?
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Hi! It's actually not that hard to create an automated strategy with 100% win rate:
The system "scalps" daily bars when a long-term signal is achieved. It uses a fixed TP, and the SL is activated when an opposite signal appears (it's a market order). You have to:
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Optimize over a 10 year period with in-sample and out-of-sample periods to validate.
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Optimize a fixed TP and indicator periods so it gives you a result with a minimal drawdown (don't even look at the profit yet). The parameters with the least Drawdown have the highest chance of performing well in the future without overfitting (i have tested this concept over and over with satisfying results).
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Look at the trades and your indicator to ensure it gives you a "tight" enough stop-loss signal (remember that you close a losing trade when the indicator tells you to do that, never use a fixed stop loss level). I like the Gann Hi-Lo Activator SSL because it gives you this type of signal with a relatively tight stop loss.
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Once you have validated your parameters you can Increase the risk of the system until you reach an acceptable drawdown level (less than 20% works for me). You can also activate compounding at this point.
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Repeat the process with another market and/or time frame to create a respectable portfolio of non-correlated signals.
This is my current project, and I believe it really leverages the high-win rates by taking full advantage of intra-day volatility (even noise). There are some issues with it:
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Small sample of trades. You have to wait months for signals, so you have to create dozens of uncorrelated systems to make it worth your time.
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It has a negative risk-reward ratio, so you have to pick the type of signal (indicator) very carefully as some can let losers run forever when you pick longer periods.
A more mainstream option is to look for an expert on mean reversion systems as these have better winning chances than trend systems! Hope this helps, i keep on experimenting
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@cashflows Quizá puedo ayudarte amigo , tengo ya 2 años trabajando con fxdreema.
